tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6124489411137620600.post2210674499744177834..comments2023-05-04T04:35:41.461-04:00Comments on Baseball Nooby: Putting the "Erm..." in Sabermetricstps12http://www.blogger.com/profile/17835159324328838489noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6124489411137620600.post-7947312388478165122010-01-04T18:53:03.664-05:002010-01-04T18:53:03.664-05:00Your blog keeps getting better and better! Your ol...Your blog keeps getting better and better! Your older articles are not as good as newer ones you have a lot more creativity and originality now keep it up!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6124489411137620600.post-34158800937754941832009-04-22T08:25:00.000-04:002009-04-22T08:25:00.000-04:00Even "slight trend" and "velocity isn't everything...Even "slight trend" and "velocity isn't everything" overstate the case: the chart shows no correlation at all.<br /><br />Perhaps that, and wondering whether the Rays had "figure[d] something out," was meant humorously. If so then I apologize for the misreading.tps12https://www.blogger.com/profile/17835159324328838489noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6124489411137620600.post-90559132576186524152009-04-21T23:24:00.000-04:002009-04-21T23:24:00.000-04:00Hey tps12,
This is Joe Sokolowski the guy who wrot...Hey tps12,<br />This is Joe Sokolowski the guy who wrote the "absurd post." Please read the full article as I state that the chart I made shows "[it] reinforces what baseball fans already know, velocity isn’t everything." All information I used for the post was from fangraphs.com (a great website you should check out.) The point of my post was that bullpen fastball speed does not automatically mean higher strikeout rate. Thanks for linking the article and taking an interest enough to commenting on metsgeek.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6124489411137620600.post-47853418638136577112009-04-21T10:22:00.000-04:002009-04-21T10:22:00.000-04:00I hadn't heard of Simpson's paradox, but yeah, it ...I hadn't heard of Simpson's paradox, but yeah, it sounds like it could be an issue here.<br /><br />The problem with aggregating numbers at the bullpen level is that you end up averaging away information relevant to the exact relationship (fastball speed vs. likelihood of a strikeout) you're trying to tease out.<br /><br />It's like if you're looking for a relationship between vehicle size and traffic accident rates, so you start out by calculating each household's average vehicle size and how many accidents each household experiences...tps12https://www.blogger.com/profile/17835159324328838489noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6124489411137620600.post-4043544967114585942009-04-21T08:48:00.000-04:002009-04-21T08:48:00.000-04:00The average of a group of pitchers is the average ...The average of a group of pitchers is the average fastball speed that a batter facing random selections from that group will face.<br /><br />Big problem #1: Random?<br />Big problem #2: Simpson's Paradox, if that's the one I'm thinking ofDUhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15427884103652875815noreply@blogger.com